Forecasting
Platforms
Good Judgement Open
CSET; I was interviewed about my experience there in The Making of a Top Forecaster
Projects
Metaforecast: A search engine for probabilities
Forecasting Newsletter
A prior for technological discontinuities
Predicting the value of small altruistic projects
Amplifying generalist research via forecasting
Announcing the Forecasting Innovation Prize
Incentive Problems With Current Forecasting Competitions
Past Pandemics Prior
Write-up on some self experimentation in calibration
Adjusting probabilities for the passage of time, using Squiggle